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Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.

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  vs.

BURTON ALBION vs. BURY
(neutral venue - no home advantage applied to match-up calculations)

 
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score difference.
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games.
 

A listing of all historical matches with identical ELO scores as Burton Albion vs. Bury.

Venue Wins for equivalent team
to Burton Albion
(ELO score: 3533)
Draws Wins for equivalent team
to Bury
(ELO score: 3566)
TOTAL 3 1 1
Home 2 1 1
Away 1 0 0

Date Comp   Home Team Score   Away Team ELO
24 NOV 2015 LGE Crawley Town  
(3533)  
1 - 2   Northampton Town
  (3566)
10.1
19 FEB 2005 LGE Northampton Town  
(3566)  
1 - 2   Southend United
  (3533)
12.6
16 NOV 1985 CUP Mansfield Town  
(3533)  
1 - 1   Port Vale
  (3566)
1.6
23 NOV 1946 LGE Torquay United  
(3533)  
2 - 1   Norwich City
  (3566)
7.4
12 OCT 1901 SL Wellingborough  
(3533)  
2 - 1   Bristol Rovers
  (3566)
7.2

 

A historical comparison of Burton Albion's and Bury's ELO scores.


  Burton Albion   Bury  
  Current ELO Score: 3532.8   3566.2  
  Best ELO Score: 3771.4  
Saturday, April 29, 2017  
4093.9  
Wednesday, April 22, 1903  
  Worst ELO Score: 3286.7  
Saturday, December 18, 2004  
3419.3  
Tuesday, February 5, 2008  

 

A summary of all historical matches between Burton Albion and Bury.

 Venue Played Burton Albion
wins
Draws Bury
wins
Burton Albion
goals
Bury
goals
Burton Albion
SR%
Bury
SR%
 TOTAL 12 2 4 6 9 18 33.3% 66.7%
 HOME 7 2 3 2 8 10 50.0% 50.0%
 AWAY 5 0 1 4 1 8 10.0% 90.0%

Date Comp   Home Team Score   Away Team ELO
10 AUG 2016 CUP Burton Albion  
(3713)  
3 - 2   Bury
  (3613)
3.1
2 APR 2016 LGE Burton Albion  
(3719)  
1 - 1   Bury
  (3596)
4.3
21 NOV 2015 LGE Bury  
(3662)  
1 - 0   Burton Albion
  (3678)
9.4
31 JAN 2015 LGE Burton Albion  
(3592)  
1 - 0   Bury
  (3547)
7.6
20 SEP 2014 LGE Bury  
(3590)  
3 - 1   Burton Albion
  (3592)
13.3
18 JAN 2014 LGE Bury  
(3501)  
0 - 0   Burton Albion
  (3586)
1.3
24 AUG 2013 LGE Burton Albion  
(3573)  
2 - 2   Bury
  (3536)
2.2
12 APR 2011 LGE Bury  
(3608)  
1 - 0   Burton Albion
  (3419)
4.1
19 NOV 2010 LGE Burton Albion  
(3505)  
1 - 3   Bury
  (3554)
14.8
5 APR 2010 LGE Bury   
(3527)  
3 - 0   Burton Albion
  (3485)
13.2
31 OCT 2009 LGE Burton Albion  
(3481)  
0 - 0   Bury
  (3563)
1
24 NOV 1979 CUP Burton Albion  
(3100)  
0 - 2   Bury
  (3580)
3.1